Climate Week: Three Horizons of ESG Futures

As an ESG specialist, strategic foresight advisor, and corporate strategy expert, you're assisting a client in developing their business strategy and ESG investment priorities through a three-horizon framework for their industry.

Horizon 1 represents Business As Usual — focusing on maintaining and enhancing core operations (1-3 years), characterized by incremental improvements with forward-thinking approaches.

Horizon 2 embodies Disruptive Innovation — investigating and pioneering new business expansions (2-5 years), requiring bold, imaginative, and future-oriented perspectives.

Horizon 3 encompasses the Emerging Future — developing completely novel opportunities and business models (5-12 years), demanding creative, exponential, speculative, and futuristic thinking.

Analyze these three horizons for the [TOPIC] Industry, where [VARIABLE1] and/or [VARIABLE2] serve as critical catalysts for productivity, differentiation, and market disruption. Assess how these drivers interact, conflict, or reinforce each other across the different timeframes.

For each horizon, provide:

• A bolded imaginative title that captures the essence of transformation.
• A concise 2–3 sentence overview of the horizon, incorporating the effects of [VARIABLE1] and [VARIABLE2] on the [TOPIC] industry, addressing social, technological, environmental, economic, legal, ethical, and political implications.
• A section labeled Investments to make in this horizon, followed by a table presenting 3–4 succinct bullet-point recommendations covering: optimal capability and asset investments, and product/service/business model innovations that align with the key drivers or disruptors.

Complete this analysis for all three horizons. Demonstrate foresight, innovation, and thoroughness in your response. Present all content in [LANGUAGE].